About me

Ryan Paganetti

I am a Super Bowl-winning football analytics and game-management leader with more than a decade of NFL experience across the Philadelphia Eagles, Jacksonville Jaguars, and Las Vegas Raiders, plus FBS Power 4 consulting experience.

My career has focused on turning advanced football research into practical decisions coaches can use: fourth downs, two-point decisions, clock management, opponent scouting, weekly game planning, self-scouting, and live game-management communication.

With the Eagles, I worked across analytics, coaching, and game management during one of the league's most influential decision-making eras, including the Super Bowl LII championship season. Over my five headset seasons with Doug Pederson, Philadelphia led the NFL in fourth-down and two-point attempts by wide margins. My innovative research in 2017 led the Eagles to lead the NFL in QB sneak attempts over the next four seasons and helped move the modern QB sneak conversation forward. We were also the first team to use the "Down 8, Go for 2" strategy in normal conditions, a strategy that has been used 49 times by 23 different franchises since then.

I later served as Director of Coaching/Football Analytics for the Jaguars, helping build research systems and staff-facing decision processes during a rapid turnaround from the No. 1 overall pick to a playoff win in the same season. That run included the data-driven "Down 4, Go for 2" strategy in a comeback playoff win.

Most recently, I served one season as Head Coach Research Specialist for the Raiders under Pete Carroll, directing coaching analytics and providing real-time recommendations on the headset. In the widely cited public nfl4th/rbsdm model, the 2025 Raiders ranked 1st of 32 in fourth-down decision-making and 1st of 32 in least win probability lost after the organization had ranked 31st and 32nd in those metrics the prior two seasons.

I have also consulted at the FBS Power 4 level for a program that won twice as many games over a three-year time frame. The team also led college football in rushing yards per carry and had a season averaging over 500 yards per game.

I am currently available for select consulting opportunities.

Ryan Paganetti with the Super Bowl LII trophy
Super Bowl LII championship staff experience with the Philadelphia Eagles.
Philadelphia Eagles Super Bowl LII championship staff

Over five headset seasons, Philadelphia led the NFL in fourth-down attempts by 25% and two-point attempts by 60%.

Decision-making #1-ranked fourth-down seasons

Eagles 2017 and Raiders 2025 both ranked 1st of 32 teams in the public nfl4th fourth-down decision rankings.

Jacksonville Jaguars Last-place to playoff-win turnaround

Director-level analytics work during the first NFL season where a team went from the No. 1 overall pick to a playoff win the same year.

Power 4 consulting Research and analysis leading to FBS-leading performance

Multiple seasons consulting for an FBS Power 4 program that won twice as many games over a three-year time frame, led college football in rushing yards per carry, and averaged over 500 yards per game.

Proof

Selected Proof Points

Selected examples of team staffs, strategies, and applied research showing up in measurable football outcomes.

Eagles 2016-2020 Usage Ranks

Category 2016-2020 Total League Rank
Eagles fourth-down attempts 146 1st of 32
Eagles two-point attempts 48 1st of 32

Eagles QB Sneak Usage Shift and League-Wide Impact

Window QB Sneaks Context
Eagles 2016 2 Baseline before the 2017 offseason research presentation.
2017 offseason Presented research to the coaching staff advocating for league-leading QB sneak usage.
Eagles 2017-2020 51 Most in league League-leading QB sneak usage after the research was presented.
League-wide impact 74 -> 342 League-wide quarterback sneaks increased from 74 in 2016 to 342 in 2025.

2025: #1 Ranked Fourth Down Decision Making (Public nfl4th Model)

Team Window Correct Fourth Down Decision Rate per Analytics Correct Decision Rate Rank WP Loss per Game Kicking in Go Situations WP Loss per Game Kicking in Go Situation Rank
Raiders 2025 75.0% 12 go decisions / 16 opportunities 1st of 32 Best in league 0.637 WP lost per game 1st of 32 Best in league
Raiders 2023-2024 35.5% 22 go decisions / 62 opportunities 31st of 32 Near bottom 3.233 WP lost per game 32nd of 32 Worst in league

Decision rate: go when model says greater than 1% win probability gain. WP loss: win probability loss per game kicking in go-for-it situations.

  • Raiders fourth-down decision-making improved to the top of the league in just one season.

Contact

Get in touch.

For consulting, speaking, podcasting, media appearances, research projects, AI implementation, or decision tools, email is the best first step.